DIAGNOSIS OF HYDATIDOSIS
DIAGNOSIS OF HUMAN HYDATIDOSIS
PREDICTIVE VALUE OF A RURAL ULTRASONOGRAPHIC SURVEY IN AN
APPARENTLY HEALTHY POPULATION
MARIO DEL CARPIO1, SERGIO
MOGUILANSKY2, MARIA COSTA1, HECTOR PANOMARENKO1, GRACIELA BIANCHI2,
SUSANA BENDERSKY2, MONICA LAZCANO2, BERNARDO FRIDER3, EDMUNDO
LARRIEU3
1 Hospital Rural de
Ingeniero Jacobacci, 2 Sanatorio Río Negro, Cipolletti; 3 Consejo
Provincial de Salud Pública de Río Negro; Viedma, Río Negro
Key words: hydatidosis, diagnosis, predictive value
Abstract
The
usefulness of ultrasonography (US) in the early diagnosis of
hydatidosis, applied in large-scale surveys to populations lacking
clinical symptoms of the disease, has been amply documented.
However, the rate of false positive and negative results is poorly
described. Due to this, the present paper is aimed to evaluate the
sensitivity, specificity and predictive value of a conventional
rural ultrasonographic survey in comparison with higher imaging
complexity. Accordingly, during 1997 and 1998 a total of 1054
children from 7 to 14 years of age were evaluated by means of US, in
the town of Ingeniero Jacobacci, Province of Rio Negro, Argentina,
employing a portable device for population studies. All detected
cases were referred to a high complexity center specialized in
imaging diagnosis for their re-evaluation with US, CT scanning and
X-rays. A control group comprising 3 children negative by US for
each positive case in the mass screening survey was selected and
reexamined by US and X-rays and CT scanning in doubtful situations.
Twenty-seven asymptomatic carriers were referred with images
compatible with hydatid cysts, while 66 were classified as disease
free. At reexamination, 24 of those diagnosed as carriers and the
totality of those classified as healthy were confirmed. On the basis
of our results, a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 95.6% and a
global test value of 96.7% were estimated.
Resumen
Diagnóstico
de la hidatidosis humana. Valor predictivo de la encuesta
ecográfica rural en una población aparentemente sana. La utilidad
de la ultrasonografía (US) en el diagnóstico precoz de la
Hidatidosis, aplicada en la forma de encuestas masivas a población
sin síntomas clínicos de la enfermedad es un hecho verificado. Sin
embargo se desconoce su tasa de falsos positivos y falsos negativos.
Por ello, en el presente trabajo se evalúa la sensibilidad,
especificidad y valor predictivo de la encuesta ultrasonográfica
rural. Para ello, durante 1997 y 1998 se evaluaron mediante US 1.054
niños de 7 a 14 años de edad, de la localidad de Ing. Jacobacci,
Río Negro, Argentina utilizándose para los estudios poblacionales
un equipo no moderno y un operador no especializado en diagnóstico
por imágenes. Todos los casos detectados fueron derivados a un
centro de alta complejidad especializado en diagnóstico por
imágenes para su reevaluación con US, Tac y Rx, consideradas en su
conjunto como prueba de oro. Se seleccionó un grupo control
constituido por 3 niños negativos por US por cada caso positivo.
Este grupo fue también reexaminado por US y Rx, y TAC en
situaciones de duda. Se derivaron 27 portadores con imágenes
positivas y sin síntomas clínicos de hidatidosis y 66 clasificados
como no portadores, confirmándose al reexamen 24 de los
diagnosticados como portadores y la totalidad de los clasificados
como sanos. En función de los resultados se estimó una
sensibilidad del 100%, una especificidad del 95.6% y un valor global
de la prueba de 96.7%.
Postal address: Dr. Mario del Carpio, Departamento
Zoonosis, Consejo Provincial de Salud Pública de Río Negro,
Laprida 240, 8500 Viedma, Argentina
Fax: 54-2920-430007 e-mail: msrione@anmat.gov.ar
Received: 7-II-2000 Accepted: 15-III-2000
Currently, ultrasonography (US) is the most widely employed
diagnostic tool for human hydatidosis1-3. Its capacity to detect
small cysts in asymptomatic carriers, as well as the feasibility of
transporting small, portable equipment to rural areas where this
disease is endemic, have made it the method of choice for mass
screening. As from 1984, field studies have been reported in
Argentina, Kenya, Tunisia and Uruguay, carried out to evaluate the
prevalence of the disease in populations at risk and to provide
early medical treatment for detected carriers1, 2, 8, 11.
These studies have allowed the sensitivity of US to be assayed in
relation to serology, traditionally used in field surveys, to find
that it is 73% greater than double arc five diffusion test (dd5) and
49% higher than enzy-moimmunoassays (EIA). Its specificity has been
reported to be 96%2, 4, 5.
The possibility of routine use of US in hospitals and sanitary units
of low complexity, has been appropriately proposed in a technology
scheme adapted to primary health attention programs.
Accordingly, the present work was carried out to analyze the
specificity, sensitivity and predictive value of US surveys in an
apparently healthy population under operative conditions of rural
work.
Materials and Methods
During 1997 and 1998 a total of 1070 children from 7 to 14 years
of age were examined. This population comprised the totality of
children attending urban and rural schools in the town of Ing.
Jacobacci, Province of Rio Negro, in the south of the Argentine
Patagonia.
The field study was performed with a portable real-time Sigma XR
Kontron device with a Polaroid recording system. The operator was a
local physician not specialized in ultrasono-graphic diagnosis.
All cases presenting images compatible with hydatidosis were
referred to a specialized center of imaging studies located in the
town of Cipolletti, Province of Rio Negro, and evaluated in a
definitive study, based on combined reexamination by means of US
with an Aloka 1700 device, front and profile X-rays and on-line CT
canning.
A control group, comprising 3 US-negative children in the field
study for each positive case, was randomly selected, matched by age
and school of origin. This group was also referred to the town of
Cipolletti, and subjected to the same reexamination (US and TAC in
doubtful situations).
Estimates of sensitivity, specificity, predictive value and global
value, as well as of ROC curve parameters, were performed with
Epidat 2.0 software.
Results
In the field study, 28 asymptomatic cases (2.6%) of children with
cystic images compatible with hydatidosis were detected, 26
corresponding to the hepatic localization and 2 to splenic
localization.
Reexamination was carried out in 27 cases (96.4%) and allowed
confirmation of 24 (88.9%) as hydatid cysts and elimination of 3
(11.1%) as non-hydatid.
The protocols of the three eliminated cases were as follows:
a) Case 1. Field study: hepatic hydatid cyst, 2.5 cm x 2.10 cm.
Definitive study: presence of hydatid formations not demonstrated at
US or CT.
b) Case 2. Field study: splenic hydatid cyst, 5 cm x 5 cm.
Definitive study: presence of hydatid formations not demonstrated at
US or CT.
c) Case 3. Field study: splenic hydatid cyst, 3.7 x 4 cm. Definitive
study: presence of hydatid formations not demonstrated at US or CT.
As regards controls, it was possible to refer a total of 66
children, the diagnosis being confirmed in all cases.
On the basis of these results, field studies for all localizations
were estimated to present a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of
95.6% and a global test value of 96.7%, provided that an individual
should be correctly classified by the test (Table 1).
For liver localization, sensitivity was 100%, specificity 98.5% and
global test value 98.9%.
Discussion
Attempts of early diagnosis of hydatidosis in human populations
where the disease is endemic are considered of particular interest,
as a sanitary strategy to improve prognosis of the carrier
(feasibility of initiating chemothe-rapeutic or surgical treatment
before the cystic mass induces severe lesions in affected viscera)
or to increase the knowledge of its natural history6.
These activities have been carried out by immuno-logical methods or
with or without US by images as massive screening surveys in
populations at risk1, 2, 6-11.
Surveys based on the detection of images compatible with hydatidosis
by ultrasonography represent a high diagnostic yield in comparison
to serology, as they are able to identify a greater number of
asymptomatic carriers, reaching a ratio of 5/1 vs double diffusion
five (dd5), of 3/1 vs enzymoimmunoassay (EIA) and of 12/1 vs
X-rays1, 2, 5, 9.
During 1984 and 1986 some of us2, 5 performed 29.320
ultrasonographic studies in school, conscript and rural populations
resident in endemic rural areas of several provinces in Argentina.
Out of the total, 239 (8%) were classified as positive for
presenting images compatible with the disease. In some cases
subsequent surgical interventions led to a diagnostic specificity of
93% for all localizations and of 96% for the liver localization
alone. Cases not confirmed in this study consisted of a non-hydatid
simple renal cyst and a choledocal cyst4.
The results of the present experience confirm the sensitivity and
specificity of ultrasonography as a mass screening tool in remote
rural areas4, 11. Their high predictive global positive value
ensures a very low unnecessary referral of patients to faraway urban
centers in the absence of therapeutic decisions, with the subsequent
decrease in the cost of health services. Besides, its predictive
negative value approaching 100% guarantees that all hepatic hydatid
cyst carriers will be properly diagnosed.
Its low operative cost, speed and accuracy in obtaining results even
with non-specialized operators and simple equipment validates US
screening as the method of choice for early diagnosis of human
hydatidosis in populations at risk.
References
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TABLE 1.– Sensitivity, specificity and predictive value of the
rural ultrasonographic survey on hydatidosis in the Province of Rio
Negro, Argentina, 1999
Parameter Percentage Confidence
interval (95%)
Sensitivity 100 82.8-99.6
Specificity 95.6 86.9-98.8
Positive predictive value 88.8 69.7-97.1
Negative predictive value 100 93.1-99.8
ROC curve global value 0.97 (SeM 0.001)
Global test value 96.7 90.29-99.1